Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009167 0.010898 0.013007 0.015814 0.019525 0.024377 0.031400
2025-05-04 0.006928 0.008914 0.011633 0.015782 0.022271 0.032666 0.052201
2025-05-11 0.005738 0.007759 0.010739 0.015735 0.024577 0.041271 0.081119
2025-05-18 0.004873 0.006819 0.009842 0.015271 0.025845 0.048731 0.117056
2025-05-25 0.004183 0.005995 0.008920 0.014448 0.026036 0.054093 0.156802
2025-06-01 0.003694 0.005404 0.008255 0.013890 0.026524 0.060587 0.215572
2025-06-08 0.003436 0.005145 0.008100 0.014258 0.029236 0.075638 0.366436
2025-06-15 0.003151 0.004798 0.007727 0.014077 0.030542 0.087815 0.577960
2025-06-22 0.002838 0.004368 0.007133 0.013281 0.029898 0.092424 0.774072
2025-06-29 0.002669 0.004171 0.006954 0.013377 0.031875 0.110850 1.474505
2025-07-06 0.002562 0.004071 0.006949 0.013880 0.035394 0.143212 4.191799
2025-07-13 0.002496 0.004039 0.007071 0.014733 0.040666 0.199748 31.725875
2025-07-20 0.002383 0.003923 0.007038 0.015279 0.045743 0.280346 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002235 0.003726 0.006807 0.015249 0.048684 0.362467 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002104 0.003548 0.006591 0.015204 0.051668 0.473929 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001963 0.003336 0.006269 0.014762 0.052464 0.566950 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001817 0.003101 0.005866 0.013976 0.050990 0.610303 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001700 0.002917 0.005561 0.013443 0.050683 0.694446 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001642 0.002850 0.005528 0.013794 0.055986 1.075845 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001563 0.002731 0.005353 0.013621 0.057967 1.427723 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001461 0.002558 0.005027 0.012860 0.055442 1.468707 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001408 0.002485 0.004946 0.012952 0.059205 2.252105 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001376 0.002456 0.004968 0.013433 0.066686 4.762753 NaN